Desportivo Aves vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
AVE
0 - 3
SPC
58%
23%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SAL
1 - 1
AVE
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
FEL
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
EST
1 - 0
AVE
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
MAI
2 - 0
NAV
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
NAV
0 - 1
VST
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FCM
4 - 2
NAV
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 2
OVA
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LEX
0 - 1
NAV
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |