Desportivo Aves vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
CHA
2 - 3
AVE
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 0
FAR
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
SAL
3 - 2
AVE
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
AVE
0 - 1
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
UNI
0 - 2
AVE
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
NAV
1 - 1
ALV
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
NAV
4 - 0
UNM
60%
22%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
OVA
0 - 2
NAV
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
CHA
2 - 2
NAV
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
NAV
0 - 0
FAR
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |