Desportivo Aves vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
BOA
2 - 1
AVE
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
AVE
0 - 1
BEL
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ACA
2 - 0
AVE
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 2
VST
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SLB
4 - 1
AVE
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
NAC
5 - 1
PAÇ
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
NAV
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
BOA
0 - 4
NAC
52%
27%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
BEL
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ACA
1 - 3
NAC
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |