Desportivo Aves vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
UNM
3 - 0
AVE
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
POR
1 - 4
AVE
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
LEX
3 - 0
MAI
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
VST
3 - 1
LEX
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
LEX
2 - 0
FCM
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
OVA
2 - 2
LEX
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
LEX
1 - 2
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |