Desportivo Aves vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
FCM
2 - 0
AVE
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
AVE
3 - 1
RIO
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
OVA
3 - 2
AVE
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 0
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NAV
2 - 4
AVE
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
LEC
0 - 0
ALV
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
LEC
0 - 0
CHA
44%
26%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 1
MAI
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
CAM
0 - 2
LEC
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
LEC
2 - 0
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |