Desportivo Aves vs FC Marco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
OVA
3 - 0
AVE
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 1
LEX
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
UNM
3 - 0
AVE
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
FCM
2 - 0
MAI
34%
26%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
VST
3 - 0
FCM
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
FCM
1 - 1
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
FCM
3 - 1
OVA
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
LEX
2 - 0
FCM
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |