Desportivo Aves vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FAT
0 - 0
AVE
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
AVE
1 - 1
VAR
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GFC
4 - 2
AVE
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 2
MOR
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 0
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 2
EST
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
FAT
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 0
EST
36%
28%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
OLI
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 1
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |