Desportivo Aves vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
AVE
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
AVE
2 - 1
OLI
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
VAR
0 - 0
AVE
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AVE
1 - 1
FEI
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 2
AVE
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
PEN
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
EST
19%
26%
55%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
SCF
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
GFC
0 - 2
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
TRO
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |