Desportivo Aves vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BEL
5 - 2
AVE
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 0
CHA
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 1
VIT
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SCP
4 - 1
AVE
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 3
NAC
44%
25%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SLB
6 - 2
SPB
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
SLB
5%
13%
82%
|
84 | 39 | 45 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
SLB
13%
22%
65%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 0
AEK
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |