Desportivo Aves vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
72.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
SPC
2 - 0
AVE
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
AVE
2 - 0
VST
47%
27%
25%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
VIT
2 - 0
AVE
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
AVE
1 - 1
MAR
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
FCP
2 - 0
AVE
93%
6%
2%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1986 |
DUK
1 - 0
SLB
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
2 - 0
PEN
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
SAL
1 - 1
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1986 |
POR
0 - 3
SLB
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
SLB
2 - 1
FCP
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |