Desportivo Aves vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
LEX
0 - 0
AVE
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 1
SCF
52%
24%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 0
AVE
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 0
AVE
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 1
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
ARO
0 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
ARO
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ARO
6 - 3
PEN
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FAT
1 - 0
ARO
31%
27%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ARO
0 - 0
OLI
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |