Desportivo Aves vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
AVE
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
GON
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
OLH
2 - 1
AVE
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
AVE
3 - 0
OVA
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 0
AVE
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
ALV
1 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
ALV
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ALV
1 - 0
FEI
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 0
ALV
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ALV
0 - 1
EST
57%
23%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |