Desportivo Aves vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
VIZ
2 - 1
AVE
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 1
FCB
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
GON
1 - 1
AVE
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 0
LEX
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 1
SPB
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
ACA
3 - 0
PAÇ
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
VST
0 - 1
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 0
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
LOU
0 - 0
ACA
13%
20%
67%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |