Desportivo Aves vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
BEL
2 - 1
AVE
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
EST
2 - 0
AVE
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVE
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
AVE
4 - 1
ESP
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
UNI
1 - 0
AVE
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
OLI
2 - 4
ACA
29%
24%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
ACA
3 - 1
CHA
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ESP
1 - 4
ACA
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ACA
3 - 1
UNI
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
RIO
2 - 2
ACA
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |