Desportiva Ferroviária vs Vitória ES analysis

Desportiva Ferroviária Vitória ES
47 ELO 54
-20.7% Tilt -19.2%
3682º General ELO ranking 3126º
142º Country ELO ranking 113º
ELO win probability
19.9%
Desportiva Ferroviária
22.6%
Draw
57.5%
Vitória ES

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
Desportiva Ferroviária
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.5%
Win probability
Vitória ES
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Desportiva Ferroviária
+58%
-25%
Vitória ES

ELO progression

Desportiva Ferroviária
Vitória ES
Nova Venecia
Rio Branco ES
Vilavelhense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Desportiva Ferroviária
Desportiva Ferroviária
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2024
DES
Desportiva Ferroviária
3 - 0
Vilavelhense
VFC
52%
25%
23%
46 38 8 0
16 Mar. 2024
DES
Desportiva Ferroviária
0 - 1
Rio Branco-VN
RVV
39%
26%
34%
47 48 1 -1
10 Mar. 2024
RVV
Rio Branco-VN
0 - 0
Desportiva Ferroviária
DES
48%
25%
27%
47 48 1 0
02 Mar. 2024
DES
Desportiva Ferroviária
2 - 0
Porto Vitória
POR
34%
25%
42%
45 48 3 +2
25 Feb. 2024
REA
Real Noroeste
2 - 2
Desportiva Ferroviária
DES
64%
21%
15%
45 53 8 0

Matches

Vitória ES
Vitória ES
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2025
AYM
Aymorés
0 - 0
Vitória ES
VIT
11%
16%
73%
54 37 17 0
24 Aug. 2024
POR
Porto Vitória
1 - 0
Vitória ES
VIT
21%
22%
56%
56 46 10 -2
17 Aug. 2024
VIT
Vitória ES
1 - 0
Real Noroeste
REA
50%
24%
26%
55 54 1 +1
31 Mar. 2024
RVV
Rio Branco-VN
2 - 1
Vitória ES
VIT
25%
24%
52%
56 50 6 -1
23 Mar. 2024
VIT
Vitória ES
0 - 1
Rio Branco-VN
RVV
66%
20%
14%
57 49 8 -1