Desportiva Ferroviária vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
DES
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DES
2 - 0
LIN
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
REA
1 - 0
DES
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
DES
0 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
DES
4 - 0
ECT
74%
16%
11%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 3
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
AMF
1 - 1
VIL
79%
17%
5%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
TOM
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
TUP
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
URT
2 - 1
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |