Desportiva Ferroviária vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
GOI
0 - 1
DES
27%
26%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
DES
1 - 2
VOL
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 0
DES
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
DES
4 - 1
GOI
61%
22%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
URT
2 - 1
DES
44%
27%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
URT
0 - 0
VOL
34%
28%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
URT
4 - 0
GOI
67%
20%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 3
URT
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
VOL
1 - 0
URT
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
URT
2 - 1
DES
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |