Desportiva Ferroviária vs Nova Venecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
JAG
0 - 2
DES
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
DES
1 - 1
CAP
67%
21%
13%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 0
DES
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DES
1 - 0
VIT
20%
23%
58%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DES
3 - 0
VFC
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Venecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VFC
2 - 0
NVE
20%
21%
59%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
NVE
1 - 1
JAG
48%
23%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CAP
2 - 2
NVE
10%
16%
73%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NVE
1 - 0
RIO
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
NVE
48%
24%
29%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |