Capixaba Fase Final Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Desportiva Ferroviária vs Nova Venecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
60.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 2
DES
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
EST
46%
26%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
NVE
1 - 0
DES
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DES
1 - 1
VFC
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
COL
0 - 2
DES
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Nova Venecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NVE
1 - 0
RIO
59%
20%
21%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
NVE
36%
23%
42%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 1
NVE
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
NVE
1 - 0
DES
67%
19%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
NVE
21%
21%
58%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |