Desportiva Ferroviária vs Itapemirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
RVV
0 - 0
DES
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
DES
0 - 2
REA
21%
24%
56%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
DES
29%
25%
47%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
DES
3 - 1
SER
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 0
DES
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
EST
1 - 2
ITA
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 3
RVV
31%
24%
46%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
REA
4 - 0
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 1
CAS
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 3
RIO
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |