Desportiva Ferroviária vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
66.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
DES
2 - 1
ARA
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 3
DES
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
DES
1 - 0
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
DES
3 - 1
LIN
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 2
DES
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 1
FFL
43%
25%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FFL
1 - 1
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 3
FFL
12%
18%
70%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FFL
4 - 1
MET
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
FFL
39%
25%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |