Desportiva Ferroviária vs Estrela do Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
RVV
3 - 3
DES
50%
24%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DES
0 - 0
JAG
21%
21%
58%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
4 - 0
DES
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
DES
72%
19%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
DES
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
REA
1 - 0
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
NVE
14%
19%
68%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 2
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |