Desportiva Ferroviária vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
49.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
DES
3 - 1
CON
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
VIT
0 - 1
DES
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
FLU
0 - 0
DES
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1977 |
SER
1 - 4
DES
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
VIT
2 - 1
DES
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
FLU
1 - 0
BAH
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1977 |
VOL
1 - 1
BAH
22%
25%
53%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
54%
26%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1977 |
BAH
2 - 0
AME
44%
29%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
FLU
0 - 1
BAH
19%
29%
53%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |