Desportiva Ferroviária vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 1
DES
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
DES
0 - 0
VIL
55%
25%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
DES
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DES
2 - 0
LIN
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
REA
1 - 0
DES
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 1
DES
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
BAN
1 - 0
POR
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 3
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MAD
3 - 1
BAN
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
BAN
2 - 0
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |