Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-4
Desportiva Ferroviária vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
DES
1 - 3
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CAS
4 - 1
DES
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
DES
2 - 0
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
CUI
2 - 1
DES
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
DES
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABC
16%
23%
60%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
ABC
3 - 2
GLO
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
18%
24%
58%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 2
ABC
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
ALE
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |