Aliança AL vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aliança AL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CRB
2 - 0
AAL
83%
12%
4%
|
26 | 72 | 46 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
AAL
20%
20%
61%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
AAL
1 - 1
ASA
21%
22%
57%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
CSE
1 - 1
AAL
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
AAL
1 - 3
CSA
4%
12%
84%
|
26 | 75 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
JAC
0 - 3
MUR
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 0
CSE
32%
26%
41%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASA
2 - 0
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 1
MUR
86%
11%
3%
|
35 | 73 | 38 | +1 |