DESO vs Cambuur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
82.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.9%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DESO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
HOO
1 - 3
DES
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cambuur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
BVO
3 - 2
SPA
49%
24%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
BVO
5 - 2
ALM
77%
16%
8%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
GAE
1 - 1
BVO
43%
25%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
EIN
2 - 1
BVO
37%
25%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
BVO
2 - 0
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |