Desna Chernihiv vs Ternopil' analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
SUM
0 - 4
DES
36%
30%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
DES
3 - 1
CHD
31%
30%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
HSP
0 - 0
DES
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
DES
0 - 2
OBO
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HIR
0 - 0
DES
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ternopil'
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
AVA
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
TER
0 - 1
SUM
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CHD
2 - 0
TER
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
HSP
30%
27%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
OBO
3 - 2
TER
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |