Desna Chernihiv vs Ternopil' analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BUK
0 - 2
DES
27%
29%
44%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DES
2 - 1
DYN
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ZIR
0 - 2
DES
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DES
4 - 0
HSP
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
DES
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ternopil'
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TER
2 - 1
STA
35%
27%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
NAF
2 - 1
TER
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BUK
1 - 2
TER
31%
30%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TER
1 - 0
DYN
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
TER
2 - 2
NYV
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |