Desna Chernihiv vs Naftovyk-Ukrnafta Okhtyrka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CHD
2 - 1
DES
16%
25%
60%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DES
3 - 3
ARS
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ZHO
0 - 1
DES
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
DES
3 - 1
AVA
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 2
DES
26%
29%
46%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Naftovyk-Ukrnafta Okhtyrka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
NAF
2 - 1
HSP
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
RYV
2 - 0
NAF
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
NAF
1 - 2
POL
30%
28%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -3 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
VOL
1 - 0
NAF
53%
26%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NAF
0 - 1
HEL
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |