Desna Chernihiv vs MFK Mykolaiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 1
DES
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TER
0 - 2
DES
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
DES
4 - 1
SUM
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CHD
2 - 0
DES
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DES
0 - 2
HSP
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
MFK Mykolaiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
VOL
5 - 0
MFK
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
MFK
3 - 0
TER
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SUM
2 - 1
MFK
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MFK
1 - 0
CHD
26%
28%
46%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
HSP
3 - 1
MFK
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |