Desna Chernihiv vs FC Mariupol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 0
DES
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
DES
1 - 0
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
DES
1 - 2
SLI
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 1
DES
33%
23%
44%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
DES
0 - 1
DYN
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ILL
1 - 2
ZOR
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
ILL
9 - 0
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
ILL
1 - 2
LOK
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
ILL
2 - 1
CHO
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
ILL
1 - 1
LVI
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |