Desna Chernihiv vs Hirnyk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SUM
1 - 1
DES
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
DES
3 - 1
PFC
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DES
1 - 1
HEL
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
NAF
1 - 0
DES
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
STA
1 - 0
DES
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hirnyk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
HIR
0 - 1
STA
28%
26%
47%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TER
0 - 3
HIR
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BUK
0 - 1
HIR
38%
28%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
HIR
0 - 0
DYN
42%
28%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ZIR
2 - 2
HIR
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |