Desna Chernihiv vs Sumy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CHD
2 - 0
DES
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DES
0 - 2
HSP
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
ILL
0 - 1
DES
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
OBO
0 - 0
DES
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DES
1 - 1
HIR
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sumy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SUM
4 - 1
TER
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
ILL
1 - 1
SUM
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
AVA
3 - 0
SUM
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CHD
2 - 0
SUM
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SUM
0 - 1
HSP
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |