Des Moines Menace vs Saint Louis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
DES
2 - 0
GBV
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
DES
1 - 1
DUL
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
DES
0 - 1
CFC
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
DES
0 - 0
LAS
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
DES
3 - 1
STL
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Saint Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 0
LOU
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LOU
3 - 1
SPK
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
PIT
0 - 0
LOU
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 3
BLE
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 2
LOU
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |