Des Moines Menace vs Bavarian United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
DES
5 - 0
CDL
82%
11%
6%
|
55 | 9 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PEO
2 - 2
DES
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
DES
4 - 1
RLF
83%
12%
6%
|
55 | 15 | 40 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
DES
5 - 0
SFC
83%
12%
6%
|
55 | 12 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
CCS
0 - 2
DES
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Bavarian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 1
MIB
11%
15%
73%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
MIB
1 - 1
RKC
67%
17%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MIB
1 - 3
THU
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MIB
1 - 0
RFC
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MIB
4 - 0
MIN
70%
16%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |