Derthona vs Voghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SET
2 - 0
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
SES
20%
25%
55%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GOZ
2 - 2
DER
67%
20%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
DER
3 - 2
ACQ
50%
25%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 1
DER
64%
19%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VOG
2 - 0
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BOR
1 - 1
VOG
40%
24%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VOG
2 - 1
PIN
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 0
VOG
22%
21%
58%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VOG
4 - 1
FEZ
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |