Derthona vs Varesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
ASD
13%
22%
65%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
OLG
2 - 1
DER
68%
20%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
DER
0 - 1
GOZ
8%
21%
71%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
INV
1 - 1
DER
80%
13%
6%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
DER
0 - 0
ASD
19%
21%
61%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
VAR
86%
11%
4%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 2
COM
9%
20%
71%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
FOL
27%
25%
47%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 1
VAR
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 1
OLG
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |