Derthona vs Vado FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VOG
3 - 3
DER
71%
19%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DER
3 - 0
SET
18%
24%
58%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SES
2 - 0
DER
74%
18%
7%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
DER
2 - 2
GOZ
17%
25%
58%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ACQ
0 - 3
DER
70%
19%
10%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Vado FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
VFC
2 - 3
LAV
36%
25%
40%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BOR
1 - 0
VFC
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VFC
5 - 3
NOV
35%
23%
42%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 1
VFC
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VFC
1 - 4
CAR
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |