Derthona vs Sestri Levante analysis

Derthona Sestri Levante
33 ELO 41
-12.3% Tilt -11.9%
5392º General ELO ranking 3223º
259º Country ELO ranking 122º
ELO win probability
34%
Derthona
25.8%
Draw
40.2%
Sestri Levante

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
Derthona
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.2%
Win probability
Sestri Levante
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Derthona
-14%
-30%
Sestri Levante

Points and table prediction

Derthona
Their league position
Sestri Levante
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
17º
14º
91
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sestri Levante
91
94
100%
Sanremese
73
76
83.5%
AS Bra
71
74
83.5%
Vado FC
69
69
100%
Ligorna
64
64
100%
ASD Asti
56
59
44.5%
AC Legnano
57
58
25.5%
Gozzano
55
56
58%
Borgosesia
52
52
96.5%
Castellanzese
10º
46
47
10º
58.5%
Chieri
11º
46
46
11º
55.5%
Fezzanese
12º
45
45
12º
23%
PDHAE
13º
44
45
13º
40%
Derthona
15º
41
44
14º
48%
Pinerolo
14º
42
42
15º
60.5%
Chisola Calcio
16º
41
41
16º
85%
Castanese
17º
40
40
17º
100%
Stresa
18º
33
33
18º
100%
Casale
19º
23
23
19º
100%
Fossano Calcio
20º
13
13
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Derthona
Sestri Levante
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
60.5% 0%
Relegation play-offs
39.5% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Derthona
Sestri Levante
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Derthona
Derthona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2022
ASD
AS Bra
3 - 2
Derthona
DER
53%
24%
23%
35 39 4 0
02 Oct. 2022
DER
Derthona
3 - 0
Gozzano
GOZ
34%
27%
39%
33 39 6 +2
28 Sep. 2022
FEZ
Fezzanese
2 - 1
Derthona
DER
23%
25%
52%
34 24 10 -1
22 Sep. 2022
DER
Derthona
1 - 1
Ligorna
LIG
38%
26%
36%
33 37 4 +1
17 Sep. 2022
STR
Stresa
2 - 2
Derthona
DER
16%
20%
64%
34 19 15 -1

Matches

Sestri Levante
Sestri Levante
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2022
SES
Sestri Levante
3 - 2
Castellanzese
CAS
47%
24%
30%
39 37 2 0
02 Oct. 2022
AST
ASD Asti
1 - 2
Sestri Levante
SES
39%
24%
37%
38 34 4 +1
28 Sep. 2022
SES
Sestri Levante
1 - 1
Chisola Calcio
CCA
77%
14%
8%
38 22 16 0
21 Sep. 2022
CAS
Castanese
1 - 3
Sestri Levante
SES
33%
24%
43%
37 28 9 +1
18 Sep. 2022
SES
Sestri Levante
3 - 1
Pinerolo
PIN
67%
18%
15%
37 26 11 0