Derthona vs Sestri Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
54.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GOZ
2 - 2
DER
67%
20%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
DER
3 - 2
ACQ
50%
25%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 1
DER
64%
19%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
DER
1 - 4
CHI
26%
26%
49%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
ARG
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sestri Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SES
0 - 1
CAR
35%
29%
36%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BOR
0 - 1
SES
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SES
0 - 0
PIN
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 2
SES
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VOG
0 - 0
SES
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |