Derthona vs Olginatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
53.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GOZ
6 - 1
DER
84%
12%
4%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
DER
1 - 3
INV
13%
20%
68%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
DER
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
DER
2 - 0
BOR
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
DER
69%
20%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 5
COM
10%
20%
70%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
OLG
59%
23%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
OLG
0 - 0
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 1
ASD
38%
26%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
OLG
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |