Derthona vs Ligorna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
DER
75%
17%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
DER
2 - 0
CAS
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 0
DER
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
DER
5 - 1
VFC
42%
24%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VOG
3 - 3
DER
71%
19%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ligorna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LIG
4 - 5
LAV
28%
25%
48%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BOR
2 - 2
LIG
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
0 - 2
NOV
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
FEZ
5 - 2
LIG
31%
23%
47%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 4
CAR
22%
22%
55%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |