Derthona vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SES
2 - 0
DER
57%
23%
20%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
DER
1 - 2
CAR
21%
24%
55%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
DER
0 - 1
ASD
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PDH
0 - 0
DER
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
CHI
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FOL
4 - 1
ACS
77%
14%
8%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
GOZ
1 - 0
FOL
49%
26%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FOL
3 - 3
CAS
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
LAV
0 - 5
FOL
35%
28%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
FOL
23%
22%
55%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |