Derthona vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
51%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
DER
60%
22%
19%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CRE
2 - 0
DER
70%
17%
14%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 1
DER
59%
21%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
DER
3 - 1
ASD
43%
26%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RAB
1 - 2
DER
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 0
ARC
53%
22%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 2
FOL
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 0
NOV
10%
19%
72%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 1
BOR
26%
27%
48%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
INV
3 - 2
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |