Derthona vs Fezzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LAV
1 - 1
DER
72%
19%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BOR
1 - 0
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DER
2 - 0
NOV
64%
21%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 0
DER
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
CAR
17%
24%
59%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FEZ
1 - 1
SES
21%
22%
56%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 2
FEZ
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FEZ
2 - 0
SET
31%
24%
46%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BOR
3 - 1
FEZ
75%
15%
11%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
FEZ
0 - 2
ACQ
37%
23%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |