Derthona vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.6%
75.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
17.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 1
DER
75%
16%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
FOL
23%
26%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
DER
60%
22%
19%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CRE
2 - 0
DER
70%
17%
14%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 1
DER
59%
21%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
ARC
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
COM
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
COM
1 - 2
PRO
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
COM
0 - 0
PRO
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
COM
2 - 2
OLG
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |