Derthona vs Castanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
FOS
3 - 3
DER
21%
21%
58%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
DER
0 - 0
CHI
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PDH
1 - 2
DER
45%
25%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DER
1 - 3
BOR
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 3
DER
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Castanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
LIG
2 - 1
CAS
74%
15%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
STR
52%
23%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VFC
2 - 0
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 3
CHI
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 2
CAS
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |