Derthona vs Caronnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
3 - 1
DER
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
NOV
14%
22%
64%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
PDH
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
SNR
0 - 2
DER
29%
23%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AST
2 - 3
DER
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 1
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
FOS
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAR
34%
28%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 0
PDH
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
VFC
68%
19%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |