Derthona vs Caronnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 3
DER
41%
26%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
DER
3 - 0
VFC
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
GOZ
3 - 3
DER
58%
24%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
DER
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
DER
1 - 2
SES
58%
23%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
SNR
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAR
56%
24%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
SES
55%
23%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
PRO
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |